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Just like the traditional markets, the crypto markets reacted badly to yesterday’s speech by Powell. Following the announcement of the continuation of the hawkish policy of the Federal Reserve, the market sentiment is bearish. Yesterday’s selloff caused Ethereum to lose more than 12% in under 24 hours. Is more pain incoming?
Technical Analysis
By: Grizzly
The Daily Chart
The price of Ethereum fell sharply against the US dollar and Bitcoin yesterday. The short uptrend that started on August 21 resulted in a sharp rejection once touching the $2K mark.
ETH then quickly lost the important support range of $1,700-$1,800, and as of writing these lines – trading below $1500.
The price has experienced severe drops after breaking below the two marked bear flags, as seen on the chart. Simultaneously, the price broke below the 100-day moving average line (in white). Currently, the average value of the 100-day chart is $1,531. Bears are now attempting to close the daily candle beneath it.
With a lower low formation, the possibility of reaching the support zone at $1,280-$1,350 (in green) will become likely. Hope will return to the market only if the bulls can reclaim the $1,700 – 1,800 range.
Key Support Levels: $1500 & $1350
Key Resistance Levels: $1800 & $2000
Daily Moving Averages:
MA20: $1750
MA50: $1592
MA100: $1531
MA200: $2184
The ETH/BTC Chart
Against Bitcoin, the price rebounded from the horizontal support range of 0.072-0.073 BTC (marked in green) and failed to form a higher high (marked in yellow). This is a warning sign and could result in a formation of a potential bearish structure. This option will be valid only if ETH breaks below the green line.
The 50-day moving average (in white) is also nearby and likely to get retested. The next critical support is found at around 0.065 BTC. On the other hand, which is unlikely now, if the price breaks above the last high at 0.08 BTC, a bullish scenario of ETH/BTC becomes likely.
Key Support Levels: 0.0.073 & 0.065 BTC
Key Resistance Levels: 0.083 & 0.088 BTC
Sentiment Analysis
Taker Buy Sell Ratio (SMA 14)
Definition: The ratio of buy volume divided by the sell volume of takers in perpetual swap trades.
Values over 1 indicate bullish sentiment is dominant. Values under 1 indicate bearish sentiment is dominant.
This index, which measures sentiments in the derivatives market, has been below one since the beginning of August. This suggests that takers fill more sell orders. It has increased slightly recently but not enough to be significant.
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Cryptocurrency charts by TradingView.
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