On the back of negative global cues and the statements by the US Fed Reserve after Jakson Hole symposium, the Indian markets are also likely to react negatively on Monday, analysts estimated.
The US indices plunged up to 4 per cent on Friday with Dow Jones and S&P 500 slipping over 3 per cent, while Nasdaq witnessed maximum sell-off to close nearly 4 per cent lower.
“US Fed statements after the Jakson Hole symposium showed the central bank’s strong commitment towards controlling inflation over growth. In cues for major central banks across the world, Fed Chair Jerome Powell said that inflation is likely to remain higher for a longer period and thus require an aggressive stance,”Siddhartha Khemka, Head, Retail Research, Motilal Oswal Financial Services said.
“This is likely to be negative for equity markets. The impact was clearly visible in US markets which fell more than 3 per cent. Indian markets are also likely to react negatively on Monday with increasing volatility over the next few days.”
For Monday, Zee Business Managing Editor Anil Singhvi said “Nifty will take strong support between 17,350 to 17,450 and will hold resistance between 17,625 to 17,725. While Bank Nifty will take support between 39,750 to 39,850 and profit booking may come between 39,250 to 39,450.”
The domestic markets on Friday managed to end marginally higher in a volatile trading session, in continuation of the prevailing consolidation phase. After the initial uptick, the benchmark inched gradually lower as the session progressed.
Markets will react to the US Fed chair’s address at the Jackson Hole symposium in early trade on Monday, Ajit Mishra, VP – Research, Religare Broking said.
Indications are mixed at present and a decisive break from the 17,300-17,800 range in Nifty would trigger the next directional move, Mishra added. “Participants should continue their focus on risk management and maintain extra caution in stock selection.”
US Fed Chair Powell sounded ultra-hawkish in his brief speech at Jackson Hole, Dr. VK Vijayakumar, Chief Investment Strategist at Geojit Financial Services said. “The Fed chief warned of ‘some pain’ ahead in the economy, an indication of large rate (75bps) hike in September despite reiterating that the rate hike decisions will be data driven.”
Markets will be concerned about the tight monetary conditions persisting longer than expected, the analyst said and added further that the near-term impact on equity markets will be negative.